We simulated Paris vs Monaco 100,000 times. Paris won 43,401 of them (43.4%), the draw came up 26.9% of the time and Monaco won 29.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.6%, while the likeliest Paris win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
| Paris win | 43.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.9% |
| Monaco win | 29.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.54 – 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.2% |
| Paris score first | 52.8% |
| Monaco score first | 39.6% |
| Paris clean sheet | 29.5% |
| Monaco clean sheet | 21.9% |
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Nice
Rennes
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Lens
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Le Mans
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Auxerre
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Angers SCO
2.3–1.0
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Toulouse
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Brest
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660773 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paris are favourites. They win 43.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.9% for the draw and 29.7% for Monaco. Including the draw, Paris avoid defeat 70.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Paris win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations. Paris keep a clean sheet 29.5% of the time and Monaco 21.9%.
The simulations average 2.77 goals: 1.54 for Paris and 1.23 for Monaco. Over 1.5 goals lands 77% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.2% and over 3.5 goals 30.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
