We simulated Nice vs Rennes 100,000 times. Nice won 39,179 of them (39.2%), the draw came up 26% of the time and Rennes won 34.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Nice win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 62.2% of simulations.
| Nice win | 39.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26% |
| Rennes win | 34.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.59 – 1.49 |
| Both teams to score | 62.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.1% |
| Nice score first | 46.1% |
| Rennes score first | 47.8% |
| Nice clean sheet | 23% |
| Rennes clean sheet | 20.8% |
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Lens
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Le Mans
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Auxerre
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Paris
Monaco
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Angers SCO
2.3–1.0
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Toulouse
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Brest
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660802 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nice are favourites. They win 39.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26% for the draw and 34.8% for Rennes. Including the draw, Nice avoid defeat 65.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest Nice win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.2% of simulations. Nice keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and Rennes 20.8%.
The simulations average 3.08 goals: 1.59 for Nice and 1.49 for Rennes. Over 1.5 goals lands 82% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.2% and over 3.5 goals 37.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
