We simulated LOSC Lille vs Lens 100,000 times. LOSC Lille won 38,014 of them (38%), the draw came up 26.8% of the time and Lens won 35.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest LOSC Lille win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations.
| LOSC Lille win | 38% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.8% |
| Lens win | 35.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 1.42 |
| Both teams to score | 59.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.1% |
| LOSC Lille score first | 48.9% |
| Lens score first | 44.4% |
| LOSC Lille clean sheet | 24.6% |
| Lens clean sheet | 23.1% |
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Nice
Rennes
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Le Mans
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Auxerre
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Paris
Monaco
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Angers SCO
2.3–1.0
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Toulouse
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Brest
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660804 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
LOSC Lille are favourites. They win 38% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.8% for the draw and 35.2% for Lens. Including the draw, LOSC Lille avoid defeat 64.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest LOSC Lille win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations. LOSC Lille keep a clean sheet 24.6% of the time and Lens 23.1%.
The simulations average 2.90 goals: 1.48 for LOSC Lille and 1.42 for Lens. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.3% and over 3.5 goals 33.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
