We simulated Troyes vs Le Mans 100,000 times. Troyes won 41,224 of them (41.2%), the draw came up 26.7% of the time and Le Mans won 32.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Troyes win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations.
| Troyes win | 41.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.7% |
| Le Mans win | 32.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.52 – 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | 57.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.8% |
| Troyes score first | 50% |
| Le Mans score first | 42.9% |
| Troyes clean sheet | 27.1% |
| Le Mans clean sheet | 22.2% |
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Nice
Rennes
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Lens
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Auxerre
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Paris
Monaco
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Angers SCO
2.3–1.0
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Toulouse
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Brest
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660774 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Troyes are favourites. They win 41.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.7% for the draw and 32.1% for Le Mans. Including the draw, Troyes avoid defeat 67.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest Troyes win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations. Troyes keep a clean sheet 27.1% of the time and Le Mans 22.2%.
The simulations average 2.84 goals: 1.52 for Troyes and 1.32 for Le Mans. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.9% and over 3.5 goals 31.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
