We simulated Lorient vs Brest 100,000 times. Lorient won 42,238 of them (42.2%), the draw came up 28.1% of the time and Brest won 29.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest Lorient win is 1-0 (9.5%). Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations.
| Lorient win | 42.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.1% |
| Brest win | 29.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.45 – 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Lorient score first | 43.8% |
| Brest score first | 47.7% |
| Lorient clean sheet | 31.3% |
| Brest clean sheet | 23.9% |
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Nice
Rennes
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Lens
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Le Mans
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Strasbourg
Auxerre
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Paris
Monaco
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Angers SCO
2.3–1.0
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Toulouse
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660801 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lorient are favourites. They win 42.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.1% for the draw and 29.7% for Brest. Including the draw, Lorient avoid defeat 70.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Lorient win is 1-0 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations. Lorient keep a clean sheet 31.3% of the time and Brest 23.9%.
The simulations average 2.62 goals: 1.45 for Lorient and 1.17 for Brest. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.5% and over 3.5 goals 27%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
