We simulated Leicester City vs Peterborough United 100,000 times. Leicester City won 56,761 of them (56.8%), the draw came up 22.3% of the time and Peterborough United won 21%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Leicester City win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 61.8% of simulations.
| Leicester City win | 56.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.3% |
| Peterborough United win | 21% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 2.10 – 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 61.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.1% |
| Leicester City score first | 63.3% |
| Peterborough United score first | 32.2% |
| Leicester City clean sheet | 30.2% |
| Peterborough United clean sheet | 12.7% |
Notts County
Oxford United
1.3–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Plymouth Argyle
AFC Wimbledon
2.0–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Bradford City
Leyton Orient
1.7–1.0
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Stockport County
Barnsley
2.3–1.2
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Mansfield Town
Bromley
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Stevenage
Wigan Athletic
1.5–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Cambridge United
Blackpool
1.8–1.3
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420647238 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Leicester City are favourites. They win 56.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.3% for the draw and 21% for Peterborough United. Including the draw, Leicester City avoid defeat 79% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Leicester City win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.8% of simulations. Leicester City keep a clean sheet 30.2% of the time and Peterborough United 12.7%.
The simulations average 3.31 goals: 2.10 for Leicester City and 1.21 for Peterborough United. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.9% and over 3.5 goals 42.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
