We simulated Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon 100,000 times. Plymouth Argyle won 62,193 of them (62.2%), the draw came up 21.1% of the time and AFC Wimbledon won 16.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.6%), and both teams score in 51.9% of simulations.
| Plymouth Argyle win | 62.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.1% |
| AFC Wimbledon win | 16.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.01 – 0.92 |
| Both teams to score | 51.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.8% |
| Plymouth Argyle score first | 63.8% |
| AFC Wimbledon score first | 30.6% |
| Plymouth Argyle clean sheet | 39.9% |
| AFC Wimbledon clean sheet | 13.8% |
Notts County
Oxford United
1.3–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Bradford City
Leyton Orient
1.7–1.0
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Stockport County
Barnsley
2.3–1.2
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Mansfield Town
Bromley
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Stevenage
Wigan Athletic
1.5–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Cambridge United
Blackpool
1.8–1.3
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Leicester City
Peterborough United
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420647230 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Plymouth Argyle are favourites. They win 62.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.1% for the draw and 16.7% for AFC Wimbledon. Including the draw, Plymouth Argyle avoid defeat 83.3% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.6%) and 1-1 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.9% of simulations. Plymouth Argyle keep a clean sheet 39.9% of the time and AFC Wimbledon 13.8%.
The simulations average 2.94 goals: 2.01 for Plymouth Argyle and 0.92 for AFC Wimbledon. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.9% and over 3.5 goals 33.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
