We simulated Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic 100,000 times. Stevenage won 45,593 of them (45.6%), the draw came up 27.4% of the time and Wigan Athletic won 27.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Stevenage win is 1-0 (10.5%). Both teams score in 51.9% of simulations.
| Stevenage win | 45.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.4% |
| Wigan Athletic win | 27.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | 51.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.3% |
| Stevenage score first | 56.4% |
| Wigan Athletic score first | 35% |
| Stevenage clean sheet | 33.8% |
| Wigan Athletic clean sheet | 22.8% |
Notts County
Oxford United
1.3–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Plymouth Argyle
AFC Wimbledon
2.0–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Bradford City
Leyton Orient
1.7–1.0
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Stockport County
Barnsley
2.3–1.2
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Mansfield Town
Bromley
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Cambridge United
Blackpool
1.8–1.3
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Leicester City
Peterborough United
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420647183 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Stevenage are favourites. They win 45.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.4% for the draw and 27.1% for Wigan Athletic. Including the draw, Stevenage avoid defeat 73% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest Stevenage win is 1-0 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.9% of simulations. Stevenage keep a clean sheet 33.8% of the time and Wigan Athletic 22.8%.
The simulations average 2.59 goals: 1.50 for Stevenage and 1.09 for Wigan Athletic. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.8% and over 3.5 goals 26.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
