We simulated Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading 100,000 times. Reading won 36,931 of them (36.9%), the draw came up 27.3% of the time and Milton Keynes Dons won 35.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Reading win is 1-2 (8.2%). Both teams score in 56.3% of simulations.
| Milton Keynes Dons win | 35.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.3% |
| Reading win | 36.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 1.39 |
| Both teams to score | 56.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.9% |
| Milton Keynes Dons score first | 43.8% |
| Reading score first | 48.9% |
| Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet | 25.3% |
| Reading clean sheet | 25.9% |
Notts County
Oxford United
1.3–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Plymouth Argyle
AFC Wimbledon
2.0–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Bradford City
Leyton Orient
1.7–1.0
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Stockport County
Barnsley
2.3–1.2
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Mansfield Town
Bromley
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Stevenage
Wigan Athletic
1.5–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Cambridge United
Blackpool
1.8–1.3
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Leicester City
Peterborough United
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420647237 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Reading are favourites. They win 36.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.3% for the draw and 35.8% for Milton Keynes Dons. Including the draw, Reading avoid defeat 64.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Reading win is 1-2 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.3% of simulations. Milton Keynes Dons keep a clean sheet 25.3% of the time and Reading 25.9%.
The simulations average 2.76 goals: 1.37 for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.39 for Reading. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.8% and over 3.5 goals 29.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
