We simulated Stockport County vs Barnsley 100,000 times. Stockport County won 62,328 of them (62.3%), the draw came up 20.3% of the time and Barnsley won 17.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.4%), and both teams score in 61.7% of simulations.
| Stockport County win | 62.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.3% |
| Barnsley win | 17.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.31 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 61.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.5% |
| Stockport County score first | 65.9% |
| Barnsley score first | 30.1% |
| Stockport County clean sheet | 31.9% |
| Barnsley clean sheet | 10.4% |
Notts County
Oxford United
1.3–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Plymouth Argyle
AFC Wimbledon
2.0–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Bradford City
Leyton Orient
1.7–1.0
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Mansfield Town
Bromley
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Stevenage
Wigan Athletic
1.5–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Cambridge United
Blackpool
1.8–1.3
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Leicester City
Peterborough United
2.1–1.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646994 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Stockport County are favourites. They win 62.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.3% for the draw and 17.4% for Barnsley. Including the draw, Stockport County avoid defeat 82.6% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.4% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.7% of simulations. Stockport County keep a clean sheet 31.9% of the time and Barnsley 10.4%.
The simulations average 3.47 goals: 2.31 for Stockport County and 1.15 for Barnsley. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.9% and over 3.5 goals 45.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
