We simulated Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers 100,000 times. Middlesbrough won 44,581 of them (44.6%), the draw came up 24.7% of the time and Wolverhampton Wanderers won 30.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Middlesbrough win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 64.4% of simulations.
| Middlesbrough win | 44.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.7% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win | 30.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.80 – 1.46 |
| Both teams to score | 64.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Middlesbrough score first | 52.6% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers score first | 42.8% |
| Middlesbrough clean sheet | 23.6% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet | 17% |
West Ham United
Queens Park Rangers
2.3–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Swansea City
Norwich City
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
1.1–1.3
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Wrexham
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Millwall
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Bolton Wanderers
Stoke City
1.4–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Sheffield United
Lincoln City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643767 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Middlesbrough are favourites. They win 44.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.7% for the draw and 30.7% for Wolverhampton Wanderers. Including the draw, Middlesbrough avoid defeat 69.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.4% of simulations. Middlesbrough keep a clean sheet 23.6% of the time and Wolverhampton Wanderers 17%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 1.80 for Middlesbrough and 1.46 for Wolverhampton Wanderers. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.9% and over 3.5 goals 41%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
