We simulated West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City 100,000 times. West Bromwich Albion won 43,651 of them (43.7%), the draw came up 27.3% of the time and Birmingham City won 29%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest West Bromwich Albion win is 1-0 (9.8%). Both teams score in 53.2% of simulations.
| West Bromwich Albion win | 43.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.3% |
| Birmingham City win | 29% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | 53.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.3% |
| West Bromwich Albion score first | 53.5% |
| Birmingham City score first | 38.6% |
| West Bromwich Albion clean sheet | 31.7% |
| Birmingham City clean sheet | 23.2% |
West Ham United
Queens Park Rangers
2.3–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Swansea City
Norwich City
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
1.1–1.3
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Wrexham
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Middlesbrough
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1.8–1.5
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
Millwall
1.5–1.5
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Bolton Wanderers
Stoke City
1.4–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Sheffield United
Lincoln City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644026 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
West Bromwich Albion are favourites. They win 43.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.3% for the draw and 29% for Birmingham City. Including the draw, West Bromwich Albion avoid defeat 71% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win is 1-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.2% of simulations. West Bromwich Albion keep a clean sheet 31.7% of the time and Birmingham City 23.2%.
The simulations average 2.64 goals: 1.48 for West Bromwich Albion and 1.16 for Birmingham City. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.9% and over 3.5 goals 27.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
