We simulated Preston North End vs Millwall 100,000 times. Millwall won 38,265 of them (38.3%), the draw came up 26.1% of the time and Preston North End won 35.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Millwall win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 60.2% of simulations.
| Preston North End win | 35.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.1% |
| Millwall win | 38.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 1.52 |
| Both teams to score | 60.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.8% |
| Preston North End score first | 46.9% |
| Millwall score first | 46.9% |
| Preston North End clean sheet | 22.3% |
| Millwall clean sheet | 23.7% |
West Ham United
Queens Park Rangers
2.3–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Swansea City
Norwich City
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Bristol City
1.1–1.3
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Derby County
Wrexham
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Middlesbrough
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1.8–1.5
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Bolton Wanderers
Stoke City
1.4–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Sheffield United
Lincoln City
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643830 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Millwall are favourites. They win 38.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.1% for the draw and 35.7% for Preston North End. Including the draw, Millwall avoid defeat 64.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.2% of simulations. Preston North End keep a clean sheet 22.3% of the time and Millwall 23.7%.
The simulations average 2.98 goals: 1.46 for Preston North End and 1.52 for Millwall. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.9% and over 3.5 goals 34.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
