We simulated Millwall vs Lincoln City 100,000 times. Millwall won 49,820 of them (49.8%), the draw came up 26.3% of the time and Lincoln City won 23.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.4%, while the likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (10.3%). Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations.
| Millwall win | 49.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.3% |
| Lincoln City win | 23.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.63 – 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 52.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.5% |
| Millwall score first | 58.7% |
| Lincoln City score first | 33.3% |
| Millwall clean sheet | 35.1% |
| Lincoln City clean sheet | 20% |
Cardiff City
Watford
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Wrexham
West Bromwich Albion
1.4–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Burnley
Charlton Athletic
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Swansea City
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
1.5–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2.3–0.9
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Preston North End
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644070 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Millwall are favourites. They win 49.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.3% for the draw and 23.9% for Lincoln City. Including the draw, Millwall avoid defeat 76.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations. Millwall keep a clean sheet 35.1% of the time and Lincoln City 20%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 1.63 for Millwall and 1.06 for Lincoln City. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.2% and over 3.5 goals 28.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
