We simulated Norwich City vs Portsmouth 100,000 times. Norwich City won 50,469 of them (50.5%), the draw came up 26% of the time and Portsmouth won 23.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Norwich City win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 55.3% of simulations.
| Norwich City win | 50.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26% |
| Portsmouth win | 23.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.72 – 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | 55.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.4% |
| Norwich City score first | 57.9% |
| Portsmouth score first | 35% |
| Norwich City clean sheet | 33.5% |
| Portsmouth clean sheet | 18.5% |
Cardiff City
Watford
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Wrexham
West Bromwich Albion
1.4–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Burnley
Charlton Athletic
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Swansea City
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
1.5–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2.3–0.9
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Preston North End
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643783 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Norwich City are favourites. They win 50.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26% for the draw and 23.6% for Portsmouth. Including the draw, Norwich City avoid defeat 76.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest Norwich City win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.3% of simulations. Norwich City keep a clean sheet 33.5% of the time and Portsmouth 18.5%.
The simulations average 2.82 goals: 1.72 for Norwich City and 1.11 for Portsmouth. Over 1.5 goals lands 78% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.4% and over 3.5 goals 31.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
