We simulated Parma vs Torino 100,000 times. Torino won 35,931 of them (35.9%), the draw came up 31.3% of the time and Parma won 32.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.5%, while the likeliest Torino win is 0-1 (10.5%). Both teams score in 47.3% of simulations.
| Parma win | 32.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.3% |
| Torino win | 35.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.11 – 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 47.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.9% |
| Parma score first | 43.4% |
| Torino score first | 45% |
| Parma clean sheet | 31.3% |
| Torino clean sheet | 33.3% |
Frosinone
Sassuolo
1.8–1.5
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Venezia
Napoli
1.2–1.9
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bologna
Inter
1.1–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Roma
Genoa
2.2–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Lecce
1.5–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Fiorentina
Como
1.3–1.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Atalanta
1.7–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Lazio
1.7–0.9
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668998 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Torino are favourites. They win 35.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.3% for the draw and 32.7% for Parma. Including the draw, Torino avoid defeat 67.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.5% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.9%) and 0-1 (10.5%). The likeliest Torino win is 0-1 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.3% of simulations. Parma keep a clean sheet 31.3% of the time and Torino 33.3%.
The simulations average 2.28 goals: 1.11 for Parma and 1.17 for Torino. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.9% and over 3.5 goals 19.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
