We simulated Salford City vs Crawley Town 100,000 times. Salford City won 67,883 of them (67.9%), the draw came up 18.4% of the time and Crawley Town won 13.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.3%), and both teams score in 54.4% of simulations.
| Salford City win | 67.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.4% |
| Crawley Town win | 13.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.32 – 0.93 |
| Both teams to score | 54.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.9% |
| Salford City score first | 66.5% |
| Crawley Town score first | 29.1% |
| Salford City clean sheet | 39.6% |
| Crawley Town clean sheet | 10.2% |
Shrewsbury Town
Bristol Rovers
1.2–1.3
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham United
1.5–1.1
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Chesterfield
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Rochdale
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Tranmere Rovers
Barnet
1.3–1.6
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Newport County
York City
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Swindon Town
Walsall
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Cheltenham Town
1.9–1.0
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646863 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Salford City are favourites. They win 67.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.4% for the draw and 13.7% for Crawley Town. Including the draw, Salford City avoid defeat 86.3% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.4% of simulations. Salford City keep a clean sheet 39.6% of the time and Crawley Town 10.2%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 2.32 for Salford City and 0.93 for Crawley Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.7% and over 3.5 goals 40.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
