We simulated Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers 100,000 times. Southampton won 67,017 of them (67%), the draw came up 18.6% of the time and Bolton Wanderers won 14.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.2%), and both teams score in 60.4% of simulations.
| Southampton win | 67% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.6% |
| Bolton Wanderers win | 14.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.49 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 60.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.5% |
| Southampton score first | 62.6% |
| Bolton Wanderers score first | 33.8% |
| Southampton clean sheet | 34.4% |
| Bolton Wanderers clean sheet | 8.8% |
Cardiff City
Watford
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Wrexham
West Bromwich Albion
1.4–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Burnley
Charlton Athletic
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Swansea City
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
1.5–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2.3–0.9
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Preston North End
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644047 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Southampton are favourites. They win 67% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.6% for the draw and 14.4% for Bolton Wanderers. Including the draw, Southampton avoid defeat 85.6% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-1 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.4% of simulations. Southampton keep a clean sheet 34.4% of the time and Bolton Wanderers 8.8%.
The simulations average 3.56 goals: 2.49 for Southampton and 1.08 for Bolton Wanderers. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.5% and over 3.5 goals 47.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
