We simulated Watford vs Charlton Athletic 100,000 times. Watford won 45,322 of them (45.3%), the draw came up 27% of the time and Charlton Athletic won 27.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Watford win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations.
| Watford win | 45.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27% |
| Charlton Athletic win | 27.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.59 – 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.7% |
| Watford score first | 52.8% |
| Charlton Athletic score first | 39.6% |
| Watford clean sheet | 30.6% |
| Charlton Athletic clean sheet | 20.8% |
Cardiff City
Watford
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Wrexham
West Bromwich Albion
1.4–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Burnley
Charlton Athletic
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Swansea City
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
1.5–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2.3–0.9
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Preston North End
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644074 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Watford are favourites. They win 45.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27% for the draw and 27.7% for Charlton Athletic. Including the draw, Watford avoid defeat 72.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Watford win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations. Watford keep a clean sheet 30.6% of the time and Charlton Athletic 20.8%.
The simulations average 2.79 goals: 1.59 for Watford and 1.20 for Charlton Athletic. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.6% and over 3.5 goals 30.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
