We simulated Wrexham vs Preston North End 100,000 times. Wrexham won 52,541 of them (52.5%), the draw came up 25.8% of the time and Preston North End won 21.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Wrexham win is 1-0 (10.6%). Both teams score in 51.9% of simulations.
| Wrexham win | 52.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.8% |
| Preston North End win | 21.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.69 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 51.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.6% |
| Wrexham score first | 54.3% |
| Preston North End score first | 37.9% |
| Wrexham clean sheet | 37.1% |
| Preston North End clean sheet | 18.9% |
Cardiff City
Watford
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Wrexham
West Bromwich Albion
1.4–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Burnley
Charlton Athletic
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Millwall
Swansea City
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
1.5–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
2.3–0.9
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Birmingham City
Preston North End
2.0–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644050 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Wrexham are favourites. They win 52.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.8% for the draw and 21.6% for Preston North End. Including the draw, Wrexham avoid defeat 78.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 1-0 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.9% of simulations. Wrexham keep a clean sheet 37.1% of the time and Preston North End 18.9%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 1.69 for Wrexham and 1.00 for Preston North End. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.3% and over 3.5 goals 28.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
