We simulated Al Diraiyah FC vs Al Taawoun 100,000 times. Al Diraiyah FC won 44,097 of them (44.1%), the draw came up 26.4% of the time and Al Taawoun won 29.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Al Diraiyah FC win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations.
| Al Diraiyah FC win | 44.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.4% |
| Al Taawoun win | 29.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.60 – 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | 57.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.3% |
| Al Diraiyah FC score first | 55.6% |
| Al Taawoun score first | 37.8% |
| Al Diraiyah FC clean sheet | 28.5% |
| Al Taawoun clean sheet | 20.6% |
Al Faisaly
Al Kholood
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Al Khaleej
Al-Fayha
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
Al Fateh
1.5–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Ahli
Al Nassr
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Al-Qadsiah
Abha
2.9–0.7
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al Hilal
0.6–3.0
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Al Ittihad
Al Shabab
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
NEOM SC
Al Ettifaq
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636028 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Diraiyah FC are favourites. They win 44.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.4% for the draw and 29.5% for Al Taawoun. Including the draw, Al Diraiyah FC avoid defeat 70.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Al Diraiyah FC win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations. Al Diraiyah FC keep a clean sheet 28.5% of the time and Al Taawoun 20.6%.
The simulations average 2.87 goals: 1.60 for Al Diraiyah FC and 1.27 for Al Taawoun. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.4% and over 3.5 goals 32.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
