We simulated Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab 100,000 times. Al Ittihad won 52,089 of them (52.1%), the draw came up 22.7% of the time and Al Shabab won 25.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest Al Ittihad win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 63% of simulations.
| Al Ittihad win | 52.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.7% |
| Al Shabab win | 25.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.98 – 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.8% |
| Al Ittihad score first | 54% |
| Al Shabab score first | 41.4% |
| Al Ittihad clean sheet | 27.1% |
| Al Shabab clean sheet | 14.3% |
Al Faisaly
Al Kholood
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Al Khaleej
Al-Fayha
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
Al Fateh
1.5–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Ahli
Al Nassr
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Al-Qadsiah
Abha
2.9–0.7
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al Hilal
0.6–3.0
xG
69%
Over 2.5
NEOM SC
Al Ettifaq
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
Al Taawoun
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636055 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Ittihad are favourites. They win 52.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.7% for the draw and 25.2% for Al Shabab. Including the draw, Al Ittihad avoid defeat 74.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63% of simulations. Al Ittihad keep a clean sheet 27.1% of the time and Al Shabab 14.3%.
The simulations average 3.30 goals: 1.98 for Al Ittihad and 1.32 for Al Shabab. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.7% and over 3.5 goals 41.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
