We simulated Al Khaleej vs Al-Fayha 100,000 times. Al Khaleej won 43,008 of them (43%), the draw came up 28% of the time and Al-Fayha won 29%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Al Khaleej win is 1-0 (11.2%). Both teams score in 49.6% of simulations.
| Al Khaleej win | 43% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28% |
| Al-Fayha win | 29% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.38 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 49.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.5% |
| Al Khaleej score first | 48.9% |
| Al-Fayha score first | 41.8% |
| Al Khaleej clean sheet | 34.2% |
| Al-Fayha clean sheet | 25.6% |
Al Faisaly
Al Kholood
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
Al Fateh
1.5–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Ahli
Al Nassr
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Al-Qadsiah
Abha
2.9–0.7
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al Hilal
0.6–3.0
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Al Ittihad
Al Shabab
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
NEOM SC
Al Ettifaq
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
Al Taawoun
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420635968 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Khaleej are favourites. They win 43% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28% for the draw and 29% for Al-Fayha. Including the draw, Al Khaleej avoid defeat 71% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.2%) and 0-0 (9.3%). The likeliest Al Khaleej win is 1-0 (11.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.6% of simulations. Al Khaleej keep a clean sheet 34.2% of the time and Al-Fayha 25.6%.
The simulations average 2.46 goals: 1.38 for Al Khaleej and 1.08 for Al-Fayha. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.5% and over 3.5 goals 23.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
