We simulated Al Hazm vs Al Fateh 100,000 times. Al Hazm won 37,817 of them (37.8%), the draw came up 25.7% of the time and Al Fateh won 36.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Al Hazm win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 57.9% of simulations.
| Al Hazm win | 37.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.7% |
| Al Fateh win | 36.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.45 – 1.42 |
| Both teams to score | 57.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.3% |
| Al Hazm score first | 47.8% |
| Al Fateh score first | 45.9% |
| Al Hazm clean sheet | 24.6% |
| Al Fateh clean sheet | 23.9% |
Al Faisaly
Al Kholood
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Al Khaleej
Al-Fayha
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Al Ahli
Al Nassr
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Al-Qadsiah
Abha
2.9–0.7
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al Hilal
0.6–3.0
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Al Ittihad
Al Shabab
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
NEOM SC
Al Ettifaq
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
Al Taawoun
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420635966 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Hazm are favourites. They win 37.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.7% for the draw and 36.5% for Al Fateh. Including the draw, Al Hazm avoid defeat 63.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Al Hazm win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.9% of simulations. Al Hazm keep a clean sheet 24.6% of the time and Al Fateh 23.9%.
The simulations average 2.87 goals: 1.45 for Al Hazm and 1.42 for Al Fateh. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.4% and over 3.5 goals 32.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
