We simulated NEOM SC vs Al Ettifaq 100,000 times. NEOM SC won 51,537 of them (51.5%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Al Ettifaq won 24.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest NEOM SC win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 59.3% of simulations.
| NEOM SC win | 51.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.6% |
| Al Ettifaq win | 24.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.85 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 59.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.9% |
| NEOM SC score first | 61% |
| Al Ettifaq score first | 33.5% |
| NEOM SC clean sheet | 29.9% |
| Al Ettifaq clean sheet | 16.1% |
Al Faisaly
Al Kholood
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Al Khaleej
Al-Fayha
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
Al Fateh
1.5–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Ahli
Al Nassr
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Al-Qadsiah
Abha
2.9–0.7
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al Hilal
0.6–3.0
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Al Ittihad
Al Shabab
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
Al Taawoun
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636048 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
NEOM SC are favourites. They win 51.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 24.9% for Al Ettifaq. Including the draw, NEOM SC avoid defeat 75.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest NEOM SC win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.3% of simulations. NEOM SC keep a clean sheet 29.9% of the time and Al Ettifaq 16.1%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 1.85 for NEOM SC and 1.22 for Al Ettifaq. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59% and over 3.5 goals 36.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
