We simulated Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood 100,000 times. Al Kholood won 42,661 of them (42.7%), the draw came up 27.5% of the time and Al Faisaly won 29.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Al Kholood win is 0-1 (10%). Both teams score in 52.6% of simulations.
| Al Faisaly win | 29.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Al Kholood win | 42.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.16 – 1.44 |
| Both teams to score | 52.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.5% |
| Al Faisaly score first | 40.3% |
| Al Kholood score first | 51.4% |
| Al Faisaly clean sheet | 24.1% |
| Al Kholood clean sheet | 31.7% |
Al Khaleej
Al-Fayha
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
Al Fateh
1.5–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Ahli
Al Nassr
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Al-Qadsiah
Abha
2.9–0.7
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al Hilal
0.6–3.0
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Al Ittihad
Al Shabab
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
NEOM SC
Al Ettifaq
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
Al Taawoun
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420635978 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Kholood are favourites. They win 42.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.5% for the draw and 29.8% for Al Faisaly. Including the draw, Al Kholood avoid defeat 70.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Al Kholood win is 0-1 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.6% of simulations. Al Faisaly keep a clean sheet 24.1% of the time and Al Kholood 31.7%.
The simulations average 2.60 goals: 1.16 for Al Faisaly and 1.44 for Al Kholood. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48% and over 3.5 goals 26.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
