We simulated Al-Qadsiah vs Abha 100,000 times. Al-Qadsiah won 82,105 of them (82.1%), the draw came up 11.3% of the time and Abha won 6.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.2%), and both teams score in 47.4% of simulations.
| Al-Qadsiah win | 82.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 11.3% |
| Abha win | 6.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.94 – 0.71 |
| Both teams to score | 47.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.2% |
| Al-Qadsiah score first | 81.1% |
| Abha score first | 16.3% |
| Al-Qadsiah clean sheet | 49.5% |
| Abha clean sheet | 5.7% |
Al Faisaly
Al Kholood
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Al Khaleej
Al-Fayha
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
Al Fateh
1.5–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Ahli
Al Nassr
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al Hilal
0.6–3.0
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Al Ittihad
Al Shabab
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
NEOM SC
Al Ettifaq
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
Al Taawoun
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636019 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al-Qadsiah are favourites. They win 82.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 11.3% for the draw and 6.6% for Abha. Including the draw, Al-Qadsiah avoid defeat 93.4% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (10.8%) and 1-0 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.4% of simulations. Al-Qadsiah keep a clean sheet 49.5% of the time and Abha 5.7%.
The simulations average 3.65 goals: 2.94 for Al-Qadsiah and 0.71 for Abha. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70% and over 3.5 goals 49.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
