We simulated Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal 100,000 times. Al Hilal won 84,779 of them (84.8%), the draw came up 10.1% of the time and Al Riyadh won 5.1%. The most likely score is 0-2 (12.5%), and both teams score in 41.6% of simulations.
| Al Riyadh win | 5.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 10.1% |
| Al Hilal win | 84.8% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 0.59 – 2.98 |
| Both teams to score | 41.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.6% |
| Al Riyadh score first | 14.7% |
| Al Hilal score first | 82.5% |
| Al Riyadh clean sheet | 5.4% |
| Al Hilal clean sheet | 55.7% |
Al Faisaly
Al Kholood
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Al Khaleej
Al-Fayha
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
Al Fateh
1.5–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Ahli
Al Nassr
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Al-Qadsiah
Abha
2.9–0.7
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al Ittihad
Al Shabab
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
NEOM SC
Al Ettifaq
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
Al Taawoun
1.6–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420635963 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Hilal are favourites. They win 84.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 10.1% for the draw and 5.1% for Al Riyadh. Including the draw, Al Hilal avoid defeat 94.9% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (12.2%) and 0-4 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41.6% of simulations. Al Riyadh keep a clean sheet 5.4% of the time and Al Hilal 55.7%.
The simulations average 3.57 goals: 0.59 for Al Riyadh and 2.98 for Al Hilal. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.6% and over 3.5 goals 47.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
