We simulated Angers SCO vs Lorient 100,000 times. Lorient won 39,525 of them (39.5%), the draw came up 28.6% of the time and Angers SCO won 31.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Lorient win is 0-1 (9%). Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations.
| Angers SCO win | 31.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.6% |
| Lorient win | 39.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 1.39 |
| Both teams to score | 53.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.7% |
| Angers SCO score first | 42.4% |
| Lorient score first | 49.1% |
| Angers SCO clean sheet | 25.4% |
| Lorient clean sheet | 29.8% |
Brest
Nice
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Toulouse
Troyes
1.9–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Lens
Paris
1.7–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Monaco
LOSC Lille
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Le Havre
2.1–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Auxerre
Le Mans
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Rennes
Strasbourg
2.4–1.3
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Olympique Lyonnais
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660794 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lorient are favourites. They win 39.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.6% for the draw and 31.9% for Angers SCO. Including the draw, Lorient avoid defeat 68.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9%) and 0-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Lorient win is 0-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations. Angers SCO keep a clean sheet 25.4% of the time and Lorient 29.8%.
The simulations average 2.61 goals: 1.22 for Angers SCO and 1.39 for Lorient. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.3% and over 3.5 goals 26.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
