We simulated Rennes vs Strasbourg 100,000 times. Rennes won 60,554 of them (60.6%), the draw came up 19.7% of the time and Strasbourg won 19.8%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.2%), and both teams score in 65.2% of simulations.
| Rennes win | 60.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.7% |
| Strasbourg win | 19.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.35 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 65.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.1% |
| Rennes score first | 64.3% |
| Strasbourg score first | 32.5% |
| Rennes clean sheet | 28% |
| Strasbourg clean sheet | 9.9% |
Brest
Nice
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Toulouse
Troyes
1.9–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Lens
Paris
1.7–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Monaco
LOSC Lille
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Lorient
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Le Havre
2.1–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Auxerre
Le Mans
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Olympique Lyonnais
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660883 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rennes are favourites. They win 60.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.7% for the draw and 19.8% for Strasbourg. Including the draw, Rennes avoid defeat 80.2% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.2% of simulations. Rennes keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Strasbourg 9.9%.
The simulations average 3.64 goals: 2.35 for Rennes and 1.29 for Strasbourg. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70% and over 3.5 goals 49.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
