We simulated Brest vs Nice 100,000 times. Brest won 46,438 of them (46.4%), the draw came up 27.9% of the time and Nice won 25.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Brest win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 57.8% of simulations.
| Brest win | 46.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.9% |
| Nice win | 25.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.66 – 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 57.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.1% |
| Brest score first | 56.6% |
| Nice score first | 35.4% |
| Brest clean sheet | 30.7% |
| Nice clean sheet | 19.4% |
Toulouse
Troyes
1.9–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Lens
Paris
1.7–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Monaco
LOSC Lille
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Lorient
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Le Havre
2.1–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Auxerre
Le Mans
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Rennes
Strasbourg
2.4–1.3
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Olympique Lyonnais
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660766 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Brest are favourites. They win 46.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.9% for the draw and 25.7% for Nice. Including the draw, Brest avoid defeat 74.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Brest win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.8% of simulations. Brest keep a clean sheet 30.7% of the time and Nice 19.4%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 1.66 for Brest and 1.19 for Nice. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.2% and over 3.5 goals 32.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
