We simulated Monaco vs LOSC Lille 100,000 times. Monaco won 44,229 of them (44.2%), the draw came up 29.5% of the time and LOSC Lille won 26.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.9%, while the likeliest Monaco win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 57.6% of simulations.
| Monaco win | 44.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.5% |
| LOSC Lille win | 26.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.60 – 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 57.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.9% |
| Monaco score first | 54% |
| LOSC Lille score first | 37.2% |
| Monaco clean sheet | 30.5% |
| LOSC Lille clean sheet | 20.6% |
Brest
Nice
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Toulouse
Troyes
1.9–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Lens
Paris
1.7–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Lorient
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Le Havre
2.1–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Auxerre
Le Mans
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Rennes
Strasbourg
2.4–1.3
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Olympique Lyonnais
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660862 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Monaco are favourites. They win 44.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.5% for the draw and 26.3% for LOSC Lille. Including the draw, Monaco avoid defeat 73.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 0-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Monaco win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.6% of simulations. Monaco keep a clean sheet 30.5% of the time and LOSC Lille 20.6%.
The simulations average 2.80 goals: 1.60 for Monaco and 1.20 for LOSC Lille. Over 1.5 goals lands 79% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.9% and over 3.5 goals 30.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
