We simulated Lens vs Paris 100,000 times. Lens won 45,113 of them (45.1%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and Paris won 29.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.7%, while the likeliest Lens win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 60.3% of simulations.
| Lens win | 45.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Paris win | 29.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.69 – 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | 60.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.8% |
| Lens score first | 52.7% |
| Paris score first | 41.5% |
| Lens clean sheet | 26.9% |
| Paris clean sheet | 18.8% |
Brest
Nice
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Toulouse
Troyes
1.9–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Monaco
LOSC Lille
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Lorient
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Le Havre
2.1–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Auxerre
Le Mans
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Rennes
Strasbourg
2.4–1.3
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Olympique Lyonnais
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660881 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lens are favourites. They win 45.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 29.4% for Paris. Including the draw, Lens avoid defeat 70.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Lens win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.3% of simulations. Lens keep a clean sheet 26.9% of the time and Paris 18.8%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.69 for Lens and 1.33 for Paris. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.9% and over 3.5 goals 35.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
