We simulated Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais 100,000 times. Paris Saint Germain won 65,362 of them (65.4%), the draw came up 18.3% of the time and Olympique Lyonnais won 16.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.4%), and both teams score in 59.8% of simulations.
| Paris Saint Germain win | 65.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.3% |
| Olympique Lyonnais win | 16.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.37 – 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 59.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.5% |
| Paris Saint Germain score first | 63.7% |
| Olympique Lyonnais score first | 33.2% |
| Paris Saint Germain clean sheet | 33.7% |
| Olympique Lyonnais clean sheet | 9.8% |
Brest
Nice
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Toulouse
Troyes
1.9–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Lens
Paris
1.7–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Monaco
LOSC Lille
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Lorient
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Olympique Marseille
Le Havre
2.1–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Auxerre
Le Mans
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Rennes
Strasbourg
2.4–1.3
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660765 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paris Saint Germain are favourites. They win 65.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.3% for the draw and 16.4% for Olympique Lyonnais. Including the draw, Paris Saint Germain avoid defeat 83.6% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-1 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations. Paris Saint Germain keep a clean sheet 33.7% of the time and Olympique Lyonnais 9.8%.
The simulations average 3.47 goals: 2.37 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.10 for Olympique Lyonnais. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.9% and over 3.5 goals 45.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
