We simulated Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre 100,000 times. Olympique Marseille won 58,370 of them (58.4%), the draw came up 19.8% of the time and Le Havre won 21.8%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 59.8% of simulations.
| Olympique Marseille win | 58.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.8% |
| Le Havre win | 21.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.09 – 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 59.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.4% |
| Olympique Marseille score first | 61.4% |
| Le Havre score first | 35.2% |
| Olympique Marseille clean sheet | 30.8% |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 12.8% |
Brest
Nice
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Toulouse
Troyes
1.9–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Lens
Paris
1.7–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Monaco
LOSC Lille
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Lorient
1.2–1.4
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Auxerre
Le Mans
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Rennes
Strasbourg
2.4–1.3
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Olympique Lyonnais
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660803 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Olympique Marseille are favourites. They win 58.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.8% for the draw and 21.8% for Le Havre. Including the draw, Olympique Marseille avoid defeat 78.2% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations. Olympique Marseille keep a clean sheet 30.8% of the time and Le Havre 12.8%.
The simulations average 3.28 goals: 2.09 for Olympique Marseille and 1.19 for Le Havre. Over 1.5 goals lands 83% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.2% and over 3.5 goals 41.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
