We simulated Atalanta vs Frosinone 100,000 times. Atalanta won 53,234 of them (53.2%), the draw came up 22.7% of the time and Frosinone won 24%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest Atalanta win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 64.8% of simulations.
| Atalanta win | 53.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.7% |
| Frosinone win | 24% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.07 – 1.34 |
| Both teams to score | 64.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.4% |
| Atalanta score first | 58.4% |
| Frosinone score first | 37.3% |
| Atalanta clean sheet | 26.5% |
| Frosinone clean sheet | 13% |
Torino
Monza
1.6–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Bologna
1.1–1.2
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Como
Sassuolo
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Roma
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Parma
2.1–0.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Inter
Fiorentina
2.6–1.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Venezia
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Juventus
0.8–2.0
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669030 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atalanta are favourites. They win 53.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.7% for the draw and 24% for Frosinone. Including the draw, Atalanta avoid defeat 76% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Atalanta win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.8% of simulations. Atalanta keep a clean sheet 26.5% of the time and Frosinone 13%.
The simulations average 3.42 goals: 2.07 for Atalanta and 1.34 for Frosinone. Over 1.5 goals lands 86% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66% and over 3.5 goals 44.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
