We simulated Torino vs Monza 100,000 times. Torino won 44,028 of them (44%), the draw came up 27.3% of the time and Monza won 28.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Torino win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 55.9% of simulations.
| Torino win | 44% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.3% |
| Monza win | 28.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.55 – 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.9% |
| Torino score first | 55.9% |
| Monza score first | 36.5% |
| Torino clean sheet | 30.2% |
| Monza clean sheet | 21.6% |
Cagliari
Bologna
1.1–1.2
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Como
Sassuolo
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Roma
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Parma
2.1–0.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Inter
Fiorentina
2.6–1.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Venezia
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Frosinone
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Juventus
0.8–2.0
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668971 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Torino are favourites. They win 44% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.3% for the draw and 28.7% for Monza. Including the draw, Torino avoid defeat 71.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Torino win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.9% of simulations. Torino keep a clean sheet 30.2% of the time and Monza 21.6%.
The simulations average 2.76 goals: 1.55 for Torino and 1.21 for Monza. Over 1.5 goals lands 77% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.9% and over 3.5 goals 29.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
