We simulated Genoa vs Venezia 100,000 times. Genoa won 44,522 of them (44.5%), the draw came up 28.7% of the time and Venezia won 26.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Genoa win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 57.1% of simulations.
| Genoa win | 44.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.7% |
| Venezia win | 26.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.60 – 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 57.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.7% |
| Genoa score first | 56.8% |
| Venezia score first | 34.7% |
| Genoa clean sheet | 30.6% |
| Venezia clean sheet | 20.7% |
Torino
Monza
1.6–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Bologna
1.1–1.2
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Como
Sassuolo
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Roma
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Parma
2.1–0.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Inter
Fiorentina
2.6–1.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Frosinone
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Juventus
0.8–2.0
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668996 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Genoa are favourites. They win 44.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.7% for the draw and 26.8% for Venezia. Including the draw, Genoa avoid defeat 73.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 0-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Genoa win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.1% of simulations. Genoa keep a clean sheet 30.6% of the time and Venezia 20.7%.
The simulations average 2.79 goals: 1.60 for Genoa and 1.20 for Venezia. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.7% and over 3.5 goals 30.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
