We simulated Lecce vs Juventus 100,000 times. Juventus won 63,004 of them (63%), the draw came up 23.1% of the time and Lecce won 13.9%. The most likely score is 0-2 (11.9%), and both teams score in 48.1% of simulations.
| Lecce win | 13.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.1% |
| Juventus win | 63% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 0.81 – 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | 48.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Lecce score first | 27.4% |
| Juventus score first | 65% |
| Lecce clean sheet | 14.6% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 44.8% |
Torino
Monza
1.6–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Bologna
1.1–1.2
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Como
Sassuolo
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Roma
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Parma
2.1–0.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Inter
Fiorentina
2.6–1.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Venezia
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Frosinone
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668977 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Juventus are favourites. They win 63% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.1% for the draw and 13.9% for Lecce. Including the draw, Juventus avoid defeat 86.1% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-1 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations. Lecce keep a clean sheet 14.6% of the time and Juventus 44.8%.
The simulations average 2.76 goals: 0.81 for Lecce and 1.95 for Juventus. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.9% and over 3.5 goals 30%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
