We simulated Inter vs Fiorentina 100,000 times. Inter won 70,952 of them (71%), the draw came up 16.2% of the time and Fiorentina won 12.8%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and both teams score in 59.5% of simulations.
| Inter win | 71% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.2% |
| Fiorentina win | 12.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.64 – 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 59.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.8% |
| Inter score first | 68.3% |
| Fiorentina score first | 29.1% |
| Inter clean sheet | 35.7% |
| Fiorentina clean sheet | 7.6% |
Torino
Monza
1.6–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Bologna
1.1–1.2
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Como
Sassuolo
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Roma
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Parma
2.1–0.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Venezia
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Frosinone
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Juventus
0.8–2.0
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668997 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Inter are favourites. They win 71% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.2% for the draw and 12.8% for Fiorentina. Including the draw, Inter avoid defeat 87.2% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.8%) and 3-1 (7.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations. Inter keep a clean sheet 35.7% of the time and Fiorentina 7.6%.
The simulations average 3.67 goals: 2.64 for Inter and 1.04 for Fiorentina. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.5% and over 3.5 goals 49.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
