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We simulated Como vs Sassuolo 100,000 times. Como won 61,045 of them (61%), the draw came up 20.9% of the time and Sassuolo won 18.1%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.5%), and both teams score in 61% of simulations.
| Como win | 61% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.9% |
| Sassuolo win | 18.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.23 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.6% |
| Como score first | 63.3% |
| Sassuolo score first | 32.3% |
| Como clean sheet | 32.2% |
| Sassuolo clean sheet | 11.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669125 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Como are favourites. They win 61% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.9% for the draw and 18.1% for Sassuolo. Including the draw, Como avoid defeat 82% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61% of simulations. Como keep a clean sheet 32.2% of the time and Sassuolo 11.1%.
The simulations average 3.38 goals: 2.23 for Como and 1.14 for Sassuolo. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.2% and over 3.5 goals 43.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.