We simulated Lazio vs Parma 100,000 times. Lazio won 67,233 of them (67.2%), the draw came up 20.2% of the time and Parma won 12.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.5%), and both teams score in 46.4% of simulations.
| Lazio win | 67.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.2% |
| Parma win | 12.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.07 – 0.76 |
| Both teams to score | 46.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.5% |
| Lazio score first | 71.5% |
| Parma score first | 22.2% |
| Lazio clean sheet | 47% |
| Parma clean sheet | 13.1% |
Torino
Monza
1.6–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Bologna
1.1–1.2
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Como
Sassuolo
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Roma
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Inter
Fiorentina
2.6–1.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Venezia
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Frosinone
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Juventus
0.8–2.0
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669134 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lazio are favourites. They win 67.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.2% for the draw and 12.6% for Parma. Including the draw, Lazio avoid defeat 87.4% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12%) and 1-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.4% of simulations. Lazio keep a clean sheet 47% of the time and Parma 13.1%.
The simulations average 2.83 goals: 2.07 for Lazio and 0.76 for Parma. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.5% and over 3.5 goals 31.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
