We simulated Cagliari vs Bologna 100,000 times. Bologna won 35,226 of them (35.2%), the draw came up 33.4% of the time and Cagliari won 31.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 15.5%, while the likeliest Bologna win is 0-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations.
| Cagliari win | 31.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 33.4% |
| Bologna win | 35.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (15.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.10 – 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 47.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.6% |
| Cagliari score first | 39.7% |
| Bologna score first | 47.4% |
| Cagliari clean sheet | 31.3% |
| Bologna clean sheet | 33.8% |
Torino
Monza
1.6–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Como
Sassuolo
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Roma
1.4–1.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Parma
2.1–0.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Inter
Fiorentina
2.6–1.0
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Genoa
Venezia
1.6–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Frosinone
2.1–1.3
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Juventus
0.8–2.0
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669038 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bologna are favourites. They win 35.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 33.4% for the draw and 31.4% for Cagliari. Including the draw, Bologna avoid defeat 68.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 15.5% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13%) and 0-1 (9.7%). The likeliest Bologna win is 0-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations. Cagliari keep a clean sheet 31.3% of the time and Bologna 33.8%.
The simulations average 2.27 goals: 1.10 for Cagliari and 1.17 for Bologna. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.5% and over 3.5 goals 19.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
