We simulated Atalanta vs Venezia 100,000 times. Atalanta won 57,639 of them (57.6%), the draw came up 24% of the time and Venezia won 18.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Atalanta win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 58.8% of simulations.
| Atalanta win | 57.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| Venezia win | 18.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.05 – 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | 58.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.4% |
| Atalanta score first | 61.9% |
| Venezia score first | 31.9% |
| Atalanta clean sheet | 33.9% |
| Venezia clean sheet | 13.4% |
Genoa
Fiorentina
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Inter
Parma
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Frosinone
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Como
Roma
1.6–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Monza
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Bologna
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
AC Milan
1.2–1.7
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Juventus
0.8–1.6
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668921 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atalanta are favourites. They win 57.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 18.4% for Venezia. Including the draw, Atalanta avoid defeat 81.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Atalanta win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.8% of simulations. Atalanta keep a clean sheet 33.9% of the time and Venezia 13.4%.
The simulations average 3.14 goals: 2.05 for Atalanta and 1.09 for Venezia. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.4% and over 3.5 goals 38.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
