We simulated Genoa vs Fiorentina 100,000 times. Fiorentina won 42,156 of them (42.2%), the draw came up 28.6% of the time and Genoa won 29.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-2 (8.8%). Both teams score in 54.8% of simulations.
| Genoa win | 29.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.6% |
| Fiorentina win | 42.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.20 – 1.48 |
| Both teams to score | 54.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.1% |
| Genoa score first | 40.6% |
| Fiorentina score first | 50.8% |
| Genoa clean sheet | 23.2% |
| Fiorentina clean sheet | 30.6% |
Inter
Parma
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Frosinone
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Como
Roma
1.6–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Monza
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Bologna
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
AC Milan
1.2–1.7
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Juventus
0.8–1.6
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Venezia
2.1–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669055 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fiorentina are favourites. They win 42.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.6% for the draw and 29.2% for Genoa. Including the draw, Fiorentina avoid defeat 70.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.8% of simulations. Genoa keep a clean sheet 23.2% of the time and Fiorentina 30.6%.
The simulations average 2.67 goals: 1.20 for Genoa and 1.48 for Fiorentina. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.8% and over 3.5 goals 28.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
