We simulated Lecce vs Bologna 100,000 times. Bologna won 44,819 of them (44.8%), the draw came up 28.6% of the time and Lecce won 26.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.4%, while the likeliest Bologna win is 0-1 (11%). Both teams score in 49.8% of simulations.
| Lecce win | 26.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.6% |
| Bologna win | 44.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.04 – 1.43 |
| Both teams to score | 49.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.8% |
| Lecce score first | 36.3% |
| Bologna score first | 54.1% |
| Lecce clean sheet | 24.4% |
| Bologna clean sheet | 35.6% |
Genoa
Fiorentina
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Inter
Parma
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Frosinone
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Como
Roma
1.6–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Monza
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
AC Milan
1.2–1.7
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Juventus
0.8–1.6
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Venezia
2.1–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669061 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bologna are favourites. They win 44.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.6% for the draw and 26.6% for Lecce. Including the draw, Bologna avoid defeat 73.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.4% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11%) and 0-0 (9.8%). The likeliest Bologna win is 0-1 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.8% of simulations. Lecce keep a clean sheet 24.4% of the time and Bologna 35.6%.
The simulations average 2.47 goals: 1.04 for Lecce and 1.43 for Bologna. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.8% and over 3.5 goals 23.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
