We simulated Sassuolo vs AC Milan 100,000 times. AC Milan won 46,790 of them (46.8%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Sassuolo won 27.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest AC Milan win is 1-2 (9.2%). Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations.
| Sassuolo win | 27.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.9% |
| AC Milan win | 46.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.23 – 1.67 |
| Both teams to score | 57.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Sassuolo score first | 41.4% |
| AC Milan score first | 51.8% |
| Sassuolo clean sheet | 19.3% |
| AC Milan clean sheet | 29.7% |
Genoa
Fiorentina
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Inter
Parma
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Frosinone
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Como
Roma
1.6–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Monza
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Bologna
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Juventus
0.8–1.6
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Venezia
2.1–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668934 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AC Milan are favourites. They win 46.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 27.4% for Sassuolo. Including the draw, AC Milan avoid defeat 72.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (8.4%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 1-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations. Sassuolo keep a clean sheet 19.3% of the time and AC Milan 29.7%.
The simulations average 2.90 goals: 1.23 for Sassuolo and 1.67 for AC Milan. Over 1.5 goals lands 79% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.1% and over 3.5 goals 33%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
