We simulated Lazio vs Monza 100,000 times. Lazio won 58,692 of them (58.7%), the draw came up 23% of the time and Monza won 18.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Lazio win is 1-0 (10.5%). Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations.
| Lazio win | 58.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| Monza win | 18.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.90 – 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 52.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Lazio score first | 65.4% |
| Monza score first | 28.3% |
| Lazio clean sheet | 38.7% |
| Monza clean sheet | 15.4% |
Genoa
Fiorentina
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Inter
Parma
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Frosinone
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Como
Roma
1.6–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Bologna
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
AC Milan
1.2–1.7
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Juventus
0.8–1.6
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Venezia
2.1–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668931 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lazio are favourites. They win 58.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 18.3% for Monza. Including the draw, Lazio avoid defeat 81.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-0 (10.3%). The likeliest Lazio win is 1-0 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations. Lazio keep a clean sheet 38.7% of the time and Monza 15.4%.
The simulations average 2.85 goals: 1.90 for Lazio and 0.96 for Monza. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.1% and over 3.5 goals 32%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
