We simulated Como vs Roma 100,000 times. Como won 38,578 of them (38.6%), the draw came up 24.7% of the time and Roma won 36.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Como win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 62.7% of simulations.
| Como win | 38.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.7% |
| Roma win | 36.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.60 – 1.55 |
| Both teams to score | 62.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.5% |
| Como score first | 44.6% |
| Roma score first | 50% |
| Como clean sheet | 21.7% |
| Roma clean sheet | 20.8% |
Genoa
Fiorentina
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Inter
Parma
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Napoli
Frosinone
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Monza
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Bologna
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
AC Milan
1.2–1.7
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Juventus
0.8–1.6
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Venezia
2.1–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668928 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Como are favourites. They win 38.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.7% for the draw and 36.7% for Roma. Including the draw, Como avoid defeat 63.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Como win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.7% of simulations. Como keep a clean sheet 21.7% of the time and Roma 20.8%.
The simulations average 3.15 goals: 1.60 for Como and 1.55 for Roma. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.6% and over 3.5 goals 38.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
