We simulated Napoli vs Frosinone 100,000 times. Napoli won 61,829 of them (61.8%), the draw came up 20.3% of the time and Frosinone won 17.9%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 58.3% of simulations.
| Napoli win | 61.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.3% |
| Frosinone win | 17.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.18 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 58.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.1% |
| Napoli score first | 60.6% |
| Frosinone score first | 34.9% |
| Napoli clean sheet | 34.2% |
| Frosinone clean sheet | 11.7% |
Genoa
Fiorentina
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Inter
Parma
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Como
Roma
1.6–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Monza
1.9–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Bologna
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
AC Milan
1.2–1.7
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Cagliari
Juventus
0.8–1.6
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Atalanta
Venezia
2.1–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669040 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Napoli are favourites. They win 61.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.3% for the draw and 17.9% for Frosinone. Including the draw, Napoli avoid defeat 82.1% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations. Napoli keep a clean sheet 34.2% of the time and Frosinone 11.7%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 2.18 for Napoli and 1.08 for Frosinone. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.9% and over 3.5 goals 41.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
